Gold Market Outlook – 17 Sept 2025
(Educational market commentary – not financial advice)
Market Structure
Gold is currently showing a bearish intraday trend, with price action forming lower highs and lower lows. The market appears to be waiting for today’s FOMC announcement, which often triggers significant volatility.
Pre-FOMC View
A larger correction in gold is possible before the FOMC decision. As long as the price remains below $3,685, the short-term bias stays bearish.
Key Trading Zones
Sell Zones
$3,685: Previous resistance potential area to consider short opportunities if price retests and rejects.
$3,675 (on retest after a close below $3,670): Strong SBR (Support Become Resistance) and break-block level.
Buy Zone (if Fed cuts rates)
$3,600: A major liquidity pocket, strong support, and key psychological level to monitor for potential bullish reaction in case of a dovish surprise.
Fundamental Factors
FOMC Decision: Any unexpected rate cut could weaken the U.S. dollar and trigger a gold rebound from deeper support levels.
Geopolitical Uncertainty: Global risks remain elevated. Stay alert to market-moving headlines and key political statements that can shift sentiment quickly.
Risk Management
Keep risk per trade below 0.5% of your trading capital.
Always confirm entries with your own analysis and remain flexible as market conditions can change rapidly after major news.
Summary:
Gold maintains a bearish bias while trading below $3,685. Watch for potential pre-FOMC corrections and be prepared for sharp moves around the $3,600 liquidity zone if the Fed signals a rate cut. Markets can react suddenly trade cautiously and manage risk carefully.