📈 MJ Forex Academy – Gold Forecast & Analysis Report
Date: June 18, 2025
Event Focus: FOMC Day | Geopolitical Tensions & Safe-Haven Demand
🟡 Gold (XAU/USD) – Intraday Technical Outlook
Gold continues to act as a preferred safe-haven asset as global geopolitical tensions rise—particularly in the Middle East region. This has fueled consistent demand for gold, aligning with the traditional risk-off sentiment. As of today, June 18, 2025, our outlook at MJ Forex Academy remains bullish based on volume data, key price action rejections, and global macro signals.
🔍 Key Observations:
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Volume Profile Indicator:
A clear accumulation zone around $3,380 is visible, highlighting institutional interest. This level is now acting as a strong intraday support. -
High-Probability Rejection Zone:
Gold was previously rejected from the $3,365 level, a key Smart Money Concept (SMC) rejection zone, confirming the presence of buyer defense and liquidity sweep. -
Market Structure Bias:
As long as gold holds above the $3,340 structural support, the bias remains bullish for short-term and swing traders.
📌 Trade Plan – Intraday (Short-Term Strategy)
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Bias: ✅ Bullish
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Entry Zones:
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Primary Zone: $3,384–$3,386
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Secondary Pullback Entry: $3,379 (Volume Accumulation Level)
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Invalidation Level (Stop Loss): Below $3,365
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Target Price: 🎯 $3,450
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Risk Note: In case of a break below $3,340, re-evaluation of bias is necessary.
🔸 Recommendation: For intraday traders, $3,375–$3,380 is the key pivot zone. Buy positions near these levels can offer strong risk-reward setups.
🧠 AI-Based FOMC Forecast – NLP Sentiment & Macro Projection
Today’s FOMC announcement holds high market-moving potential. Using advanced Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques, MJ Forex Academy’s AI models have analyzed over 2,000 sentiment-driven financial articles and public commentary.
🧾 NLP-Based Projection Summary:
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Sentiment Score: +0.52 (Mildly Hawkish Bias)
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Key Highlights from Media:
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Some Fed members advocate for a prolonged pause, with inflation showing signs of stickiness.
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Others hint at a potential final rate hike, conditional on July CPI data.
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Market anticipates no rate change, but tone could remain hawkish to manage inflation expectations.
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📊 Market Implication for Gold:
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If the Fed signals hawkish pause, gold may experience a short pullback but rebound due to geopolitical safety demand.
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If the Fed turns dovish or acknowledges economic slowdown, gold is expected to spike rapidly toward $3,450–$3,500.
⚠️ Final Note – Risk Management on FOMC Day
Gold volatility is typically elevated during FOMC days. Traders must:
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Reduce lot sizes.
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Avoid overleveraging.
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Focus on executing around key zones only (like $3,380).
🧠 “Volume tells the truth, sentiment adds the context. When both align—opportunity knocks.” – MJ Forex Academy
📞 For Signals, Mentorship & AI-Based Insights:
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🌐 Website: www.mjforexacademy.online