📉 XAUUSD Intraday Analysis – July 30, 2025
As mentioned in the prior outlook, the market bias remains bearish heading into today’s FOMC meeting, unless we see a clear H1 candle close above 3345.
🔻 Bearish Bias:
Bias remains bearish below 3345.
Key intraday supply zone and point of control (POC) lies at 3338, which is a strong sell zone.
Market structure indicates an uptrend within a “creek” – a classic Wyckoff distribution phase, suggesting possible reversal.
Target liquidity of the previous down-move sits near 3282 – a key draw if bearish momentum activates during or after FOMC.
🔺 Bullish Contingency:
If H1 candle closes above 3345, market bias shifts to bullish.
In that case, retest of 3345 becomes a buy opportunity with short-term upside potential.
⚠️ FOMC Risk Warning
Today’s session will be highly volatile due to the FOMC policy announcement.
Pre- and post-news sessions are often filled with liquidity traps, false breakouts, and stop hunts.
✅ Summary:
Sell Bias Below: 3345
Primary Sell Zone: 3338 (POC + Supply)
Bearish Target: 3282
Flip to Buy if: H1 closes above 3345 → Retest Buy Entry
📛 Disclaimer:
Markets are inherently risky and today’s FOMC-related volatility increases that risk significantly. Avoid over-leverage and do not risk more than you can afford to lose.
This analysis is strictly educational and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading.
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